Introduction Accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) or its predecessor, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), can be quite lengthy and difficult, with the existing WTO members setting ever higher standards for the new applicants to meet. The members sometimes approach these negotiations as yet another opportunity to advance issues of interest to them, a fact that can undercut the potential benefits of accession for the aspiring members. The accession process can be seen as almost a reverse form of special and differential (S&D) treatment for developing countries.
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While the GATT rules negotiated in the 1960s and 1970s provided for various forms of preferential treatment for developing countries, including enhanced access to industrialized countries’ markets and less rigorous application of rules and disciplines, the new environment of the WTO is much more demanding. It sometimes obliges them to shoulder burdens that are not shared by other countries that joined in earlier decades. This chapter reviews the evolving character of GATT and WTO accessions, as well as the changing approaches taken towards developing and transitional economies in the global trade regime. It does so by examining the shifting emphasis upon three distinct dimensions of the system: the height of global tariff walls and other border measures, the width of country membership in the system, and the depth of issues that fall within its jurisdiction. It is my argument that after the major industrialized countries had all joined the GATT their policies regarding the width of the regime (i.e., accession) were largely determined by their priorities along the other two dimensions. Concerns over the height of the tariff wall dominated trade negotiations among the industrialized countries from the 1950s through the 1970s, and depth has been their main concern since the 1980s. Accession was relatively easy back when height was the chief concern, and the small markets of the developing countries attracted little attention. Quite the opposite is true today, now that new issues are under debate and the major players miss no opportunity to set a precedent. This desire to set precedents can greatly complicate the accessions of new countries. The demands made in each successive negotiation tend to increase, irrespective of the specific status or conditions of the acceding country. While the WTO is approaching universal membership, its approach towards accession is far different from that of most other international organizations. These institutions generally operate under a principle by which, in the absence of truly egregious political problems or especially intractable diplomatic difficulties, all sovereign states have a presumptive right of membership. There may be agreements to sign, dues to pay, and other obligations to meet, but the process of accession is neither burdensome nor lengthy. It will generally involve little or no formal scrutiny of the country’s existing laws and policies, and even fewer demands for changes in these laws and policies (at least as an initial condition of membership). Examples of such universalist institutions include the United Nations, the International Labor Organization, the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and the World Health Organization. By contrast, the WTO operates more like a club to which countries can claim no presumption of membership, and must instead meet whatever standards and demands might be set by the existing members. In this respect it is more akin to the Organization for Economic Cooperation Development. Even the club metaphor may be too gentle from the perspective of acceding countries’ diplomats, for whom accession to the WTO can sometimes seem more like the hazing rituals of college fraternities. Perhaps the only international economic body that places higher demands on prospective members is the European Union, which generally requires major realignments of a country’s laws, policies, and institutions, that can take more than a decade to negotiate. The process of acceding to the WTO is a deliberately one-sided affair, with all of the requests and demands coming from the existing members and the full burden of adjustment falling on the acceding country. The applicant is not entitled to request additional benefits or concessions in excess of those stipulated in the WTO agreements, nor can it seek tariff concessions or services commitments from the existing members. WTO Article XII and its GATT predecessor (Article XXXIII) establish a framework within which accession negotiations are conducted. The deliberately spare language of this article provides that “any state or separate customs territory possessing full autonomy in the conduct of its external commercial relations ... may accede to this Agreement, on terms to be agreed between it and the WTO.” The provision does not specify the precise commitments expected from acceding countries, nor does it establish clear standards for which compliance is sought or identify the scope and extent of demands that could be made. The rules are marked by ambiguities that place the entire accession process in a negotiating context. This ambiguity is in some sense positive, insofar as it allows for a degree of flexibility, but — for reasons discussed below — the leading members of the institution are much less inclined to employ that flexibility now than they were in decades past. Put this way, one might rhetorically ask why countries are willing to subject themselves to such a process. The costs and benefits of acceding to the WTO can be properly understood only if one views the advantages of membership in their larger context. It can be somewhat misleading and even disheartening to employ the common terminology of trade negotiators, in which the commitments that countries make are deemed to be “concessions” and hence imply that the country is surrendering something of value. These unfortunate terms seem to cast trade relations in a zero-sum, neo-mercantilist framework in which any one country’s gain can come only at another country’s loss. The ultimate objective of accession is to enhance a country’s competitiveness within a global economy that — notwithstanding the archaic terminology that negotiators employ— offers opportunities for mutually beneficial trade and investment. One may, however, legitimately question whether the current approach adequately balances the needs of the regime with the capacities of the acceding countries, and whether it encourages or complicates the process of economic reform. The Evolving Geometry of GATT & WTO Accessions Let us begin by reviewing the evolution of the global trading regime in the decades since the Second World War. The regime’s treatment of developing countries and non-market economies has changed markedly over the years, primarily in response to the changing priorities in trade relations among the industrialized countries. Those changes can be illustrated in geometric form. As portrayed in Figure 1, the shape of the WTO regime is like a three-dimensional object whose facets are analogous to the height, depth, and width of a cube. The first of these dimensions is the most traditional. It can be thought of as the tariff wall, although tariffs are not the only type of barrier at issue. The various border measures that countries impose on imports, as well as beyond-the-border measures through which governments intervene in markets, can be range from high (more restrictive or interventionist) to low (less restrictive or interventionist). The principal aim of most trade agreements is to bring down the height of this wall through tariff reductions and related concessions. The second dimension is the width, which measures the extent of WTO membership. It can be either narrow (many countries remain outside the system) or wide (most or all counties are in). The third dimension — the depth — is defined by the range of issues that fall within the jurisdiction of trade rules. This dimension can be either shallow (trade is defined solely as the cross-border movement of goods) or deep (trade is defined expansively to include a greater range of issues and measures). All three of these dimensions have changed over the course of GATT and WTO history. To simplify, the major focus of attention has shifted from the first dimension to the third. Trade policy was once devoted solely to the regulation of border measures, whether unilaterally or through international agreements. The GATT negotiations concentrated primarily on the height of the tariff wall, and the earliest talks made the most dramatic progress towards its reduction. Attention began to turn towards other matters by the mid-1960s, but it was not until the Uruguay Round (1986-1994) that the major players paid more attention to the depth of the system than they did to its height. Both in the early and the late history of GATT, however, these two dimensions mattered more to the leading countries than did the width of the system. The GATT started with less than two dozen countries that nevertheless accounted for the majority of trade in a world recovering from war. The countries inside the system have always been responsible for more trade than countries outside of it, and in most cases the individual applicants have been quite small. This smallness has had very different implications for the treatment of applicants at different periods of GATT/WTO history, as is discussed below. When Height Mattered Most: Accession and Succession, 1949-1979 The illustration in Figure 2 emphasizes the principal direction of GATT negotiations in the early years of the regime, when much of the protectionist and interventionist detritus that accumulated in the pre-war years had yet to be removed. Average tariff rates in the years immediately following the Second World War were much higher than they had been just after the First World War, and the most immediate task — in addition to reconstruction, the elimination of exchange controls, and the “dollar shortage” — was to bring tariffs below confiscatory levels. The GATT was more successful in this enterprise than many feared it would be, and on a percentage basis the tariff cuts in the first few years were much greater than those achieved in the ensuing decades. The GATT accessions during these early years were conducted as one might expect in a system dominated by considerations of height: The countries that accounted for larger shares of actual or anticipated trade attracted much greater attention than did the smaller states. This was especially true before the Kennedy Round (1962-1967) and the advent of the formula-cut approach to tariff negotiations. At a time when talks were still conducted under the labor-intensive method of request and offer, the rational negotiator in Geneva would be well-advised to concentrate on larger and wealthier countries. It was in the interests of the original GATT countries such as Canada, France, the United Kingdom, and the United States to set relatively high standards in the accessions of other large countries such as Italy (acceded in 1949), Sweden (1949), Germany (1951), and Japan (1955), but they had much less incentive to bargain hard with smaller acceding countries. The first set of accession negotiations was conducted in the Annecy Round in 1949, when ten new countries sought adherence to the GATT. The applicants were obliged in their protocols of accession to accept the rules of the GATT, abide by additional commitments made by contracting parties in the Annecy round, and negotiate with existing Contracting parties to establish their own schedules of concessions. The accessions negotiated in the Annecy Round set two important precedents. In the great majority of the GATT accessions, the applicant’s “entry fee” was negotiated concurrently with one of the eight rounds of multilateral trade negotiations conducted under the auspices of the GATT. This eased the domestic politics of accessions for many countries, insofar as their negotiators could seek tariff concessions or other commitments from the existing countries as soon as their own accession negotiations were completed. (That same rule has not been applied in the WTO for the simple reason that there has not yet been a round conducted by the new organization.) Furthermore, the concessions made by the Annecy Round applicants were not particularly onerous, involving relatively small numbers of tariff concessions. Most of the accessions through the end of the Tokyo Round (1973-1979) followed a similar pattern, and were comparatively easy for smaller applicant countries. Over the ensuing half-century of GATT experience, the Contracting parties developed a fairly regular process for GATT accessions. The basic outlines of this process remain in effect today; from a purely procedural standpoint, the only major difference is that a wider array of issues are subject to negotiation in the WTO than was the case in GATT. The process has both multilateral and bilateral components. The multilateral aspects begin with the formation of a working party, composed of existing GATT contracting parties (now WTO members), to which the applicant country submits a memorandum outlining its trade policy. The working party then examines this memorandum and addresses a series of questions to the applicant. In these communications, the working party acts collectively to negotiate the non-tariff aspects of the applicant country’s terms of accession. When the working party is satisfied with the arrangements these are recorded in a protocol and a working party report. Taken together, these two documents lay out the terms under which the country accedes. There are also bilateral tariff negotiations conducted concurrently with the working party’s activities. The applicant country also negotiates a schedule of tariff concessions with interested Contracting parties; since the advent of the WTO, it has also negotiated schedules of commitments on services and agriculture. Once the talks are concluded, the protocol of accession is opened for signature by the acceding government and the Contracting parties. The rules formally provide that a two-thirds majority is required for acceptance, but in actual practice accessions — like virtually all other GATT decisions — are conducted on the basis of consensus. This meant that each of the existing members of the club has the ability to “blackball” any new applicant. This rule effectively blocked the attempted Soviet and Bulgarian accessions to GATT during the Cold War, and Iranian accession to the WTO is similarly prevented today. In all three cases it was the United States that exercised the veto (joined in the Iranian case by Israel). Accession soon became an issue only for developing and non-market economies, as nearly all industrialized countries had joined GATT within a decade of its establishment. The only laggard was Switzerland, the GATT host country that finally acceded in 1967. Most negotiations with developing countries during this period were tempered by pragmatism and compromise, in which the major players were accommodating to requests for S&D treatment. Special terms were also developed for the few non-market economies that acceded prior to the end of the Cold War. The majority of developing countries that joined the GATT did not actually accede, but rather succeeded to GATT status. Many of the countries that gained their independence from colonial powers in the post-war period — which included most of the Caribbean and Africa, as well as parts of Asia — had the option of entering GATT under the special terms of Article XXVI:5(c). This provision, which now has no equivalent in the WTO, offered a very easy route by which former colonies of GATT contracting parties could acquire de facto GATT status upon their achievement of independence. A country could then convert this de facto status into full GATT contracting party status by succession, a process that involved much less stringent scrutiny of its trade regime and fewer new commitments than did the ordinary accession process of GATT Article XXXIII. Of the 128 countries that joined GATT, fully half (64) did so through accession. Some countries succeeded to GATT shortly after gaining independence, while others waited years before taking this step.[1] Several of the countries that are currently negotiating for accession to the WTO must now regret that they did not take advantage of this option. Some of them rejected GATT and/or the succession route on ideological grounds, viewing both the institution and the rule as vestiges of colonialism. Laos and Vietnam formally renounced their status as de facto contracting parties, and Algeria opted not to employ the succession route when it first applied for GATT accession in 1987.[2] The arrangements made with certain non-market economies during this period also demonstrated the willingness of GATT countries to adapt the rules to special cases. The most significant of these adaptations was the acceptance of countries’ non-market status. The GATT system met these countries halfway, but they were nevertheless obliged to make pledges that were outside the normal scope of commitments. When Poland acceded to the GATT in 1967, for example, it made an undertaking to increase the total value of its imports from GATT Contracting parties by not less than seven percent each year. Poland also agreed to a special bilateral safeguard clause, which permitted the other Contracting parties to maintain quantitative restrictions against imports from Poland during an undefined transitional period. Such safeguard actions would not be bound by the terms of the ordinary GATT safeguard mechanism, as defined under GATT Article XIX. Romania made comparable commitments in its 1971 accession, including a pledge to increase its imports from the Contracting parties “at a rate not smaller than the growth of total Romanian imports provided in its Five-Year Plans,” and a special bilateral safeguards clause. Hungary was not obliged to make an imports undertaking in its 1973 protocol of accession, but did accept a selective safeguard clause. Special arrangements of this sort are no longer sought from acceding countries, nor are accessions based on the assumption that non-market status is a permanent condition. When Depth Became Critical: Accessions Since the Mid-1980s In later decades the focus of GATT negotiations shifted from the height of trade barriers to the depth of the system. What had started as a contract among countries to reduce tariffs eventually became a much deeper regime that goes beyond border measures, covering such diverse economic activities as services, intellectual property rights, and agricultural subsidies. The proposed expansion in the scope of trade disciplines was not universally accepted in the 1980s, and disagreements erupted not only between industrialized and developing countries but also among the industrialized countries. Countries had once agreed on the basic principle that tariffs must be reduced, but bargained hard over how this principle should be implemented for tariffs on specific items; the new negotiating environment led to more profound disagreements over the principles themselves. This change had major implications for the conduct of accessions. The smallness of most acceding countries meant obscurity and inattention when the principal focus was on reductions in the height of tariff barriers and other border measures that restricted trade. Even a huge reduction in a small country’s tariff wall would have less practical effect than a seemingly small reduction in the tariffs imposed by a large country, and negotiators allocated their time and political capital accordingly. Their calculations are quite different in a depth-dominated system, in which the principal point of contention between the major players is over what issues will come within the scope of the regime. Put another way, countries that are highly unequal in their economic size will nevertheless enjoy a juridical equality when it comes to the precedents that they might set. A very small economy may account for a negligible share of global trade, and thus attract a commensurately small amount of attention from negotiators, but those same negotiators may devote a great deal of attention to an accession when it appears to offer a good opportunity to set a good precedent or block a bad one. The result is that acceding countries come under much more intense scrutiny, and the terms of their accessions are correspondingly strict. These new developments were further reinforced by three other critical developments in the 1980s and 1990s: further erosion of already tenuous support for the S&D principle, the end of the Cold War, and the establishment of the WTO. All of these developments served to elevate the perceived importance of accession negotiations and the demands made on developing and transitional countries. The decline of the S&D principle coincided with a growing understanding that many developing countries had been ill served by the trade strategies they had adopted in the 1960s and 1970s. The extension of special privileges was perceived to contribute to a growing free-rider problem in the GATT, in which developing countries were seen not only to be shirking their own responsibilities in trade liberalization but also to be isolating themselves from the benefits of a global market. Nor can the changing status of the S&D principle be attributed entirely to the declining interest of industrialized countries in granting it. In the early 1980s developing countries “began to perceive that the positive discrimination received under S&D treatment had become outweighed by increasing negative discrimination against their trade,” and they turned towards “defend[ing] the integrity of the unconditional MFN clause, obtaining MFN tariff reductions, and strengthening the disciplines of GATT.”[3] Developing countries also came to realize that in actual practice this principle generally produced very limited concessions that amounted to little more than tokenism. These views were reflected in the changing approach to S&D treatment in the Uruguay Round, where negotiators avoided special derogations and dispensations from generally applicable rules. They instead approved various provisions that allow longer periods for implementing obligations, more favorable thresholds for undertaking certain commitments, and greater flexibility in the implementation of agreements and procedures. Emphasis is now placed on the special needs of the least-developed countries, for whom many more exceptions are now provided. The principle of a single undertaking, or “package deal,” further reinforced this aspect of the Uruguay Round agreements. In contrast to prior rounds, developing countries could not avoid the regime’s obligations either by invoking a general principle of S&D treatment or by opting not to implement specific agreements that they considered to be incompatible with their development strategies. Many of the countries that acceded to the GATT during the 1980s found the process to be more demanding, due in large measure to a change in policy on the part of major trading countries. Negotiators from these countries — most notably the United States — grew increasingly insistent during the 1980s upon using the GATT-accession process as a means of ensuring that the country’s trade regime was consistent with the rules and principles of the system. One need only observe the Mexican example to appreciate the differences between GATT accession practices before and after the change in policy. Mexico had negotiated for accession during the Tokyo Round, decided in 1980 not to implement the protocol of accession that it had negotiated the year before, and then changed direction once again in the mid-1980s. The protocol of accession that was negotiated in 1985 was much more exacting than its 1979 predecessor. Whereas the earlier protocol consisted of little more than a list of tariff concessions and the obligatory pledge to comply with GATT rules, the latter agreement entailed (1) binding the entire tariff schedule at fifty percent; (2) agreeing to 373 concessions on tariffs below this ceiling (more than half of which were made in response to U.S. requests), and (3) making several other nontariff commitments, including pledges to adhere to GATT codes relating to Subsidies and Countervailing Measures, Licensing Procedures, Antidumping, Standards, and Customs Valuation. The second protocol was also less permissive than the earlier document with respect to certain sectoral exclusions that Mexico sought. The negotiation of the second Mexican protocol can be seen as a real turning point for the GATT system. Coming a decade before the establishment of the WTO, which further institutionalized both the emphasis on depth and the decline of S&D, this negotiation set the pattern for the twelve developing countries accessions that were concluded during the Uruguay Round.[4] These accessions were more difficult than those conducted during the 1949-1979 period, but less comprehensive than accessions to the WTO. The principal difference is that the GATT regime had not yet incorporated the new issues that were under negotiation in that round, and hence the acceding countries were under no obligation to make commitments on services, intellectual property, and investment, or on agricultural issues other than tariffs. That did not, however, prevent some negotiators from raising these issues in the talks. The end of the Cold War is another key development that coincided with these changes in the trade regime. The collapse of Communism had many direct and indirect consequences for the system, not the least of them being the applications for accession that soon came from Eastern Europe and most of the states of the former Soviet Union. The change was not merely quantitative, but qualitative: The operating assumption of older GATT accessions had been that a non-market economy was seeking a modus vivendi for trade with market economies, but now negotiations were conducted on the principle that the acceding country was in an irrevocable transition from non-market to market economy status. Those countries, now known as economies in transition (EIT), are thus required to adopt all of the same commitments that apply to other countries. While some temporary accommodations might be made to the needs of the EIT, the applicant would bear most of the burden of adjustment. The end of the Cold War also led to accession negotiations with two countries of considerable size. While most of the countries that acceded to GATT during the 1970s and 1980s were quite small (with some notable exceptions such as Mexico, Thailand, and Venezuela), the same cannot be said for China and Russia. Together with Taiwan and Saudi Arabia, these are among the few acceding countries that individually represent significant shares of global trade. The prospect of negotiating with these countries may have reinforced the industrialized countries’ stance in the accessions of smaller countries, on the expectation that any precedents set with these countries — no matter how small they might be — could then be applied to negotiations with major trading countries such as China and Russia.
The Expanding Depth and Width of the WTO Regime Following the conclusion of the Uruguay Round, the array of issues in the system — and hence the scope for commitments in accession negotiations — has gone much deeper. The intensification of accession negotiations that began in the mid-1980s reached a new level with the inauguration of the WTO in 1995. In addition to being subject to the same demands that faced countries that acceded to GATT, applicants to the new organization are obliged to make commitments on intellectual property rights, services, agriculture, and (to a limited extent) investment. The width of the WTO is expanding at least as rapidly as the depth. Fourteen countries have acceded since the establishment of the organization: Ecuador and Bulgaria in 1996; Mongolia and Panama in 1997; the Kyrgyz Republic in 1998; Latvia and Estonia in 1999; Jordan, the Republic of Georgia, Albania, Croatia, and Oman in 2000; and Lithuania and Moldova in 2001. The accession agreements for both China and Chinese Taipei have been accepted, awaiting only the completion of the domestic approval procedures, and the final working party meeting for Vanuatu has been held. Another 27 countries and territories are negotiating for their accession,[5] and two others — Iran and Syria — have requested the initiation of accession negotiations.[6] All of these applicants are either developing countries or economies in transition. The data in Figure 5 illustrate the relative weights of WTO members and acceding countries in the global trading system. It shows that while there are four applicants of relatively large size, all of the other countries that have acceded to the WTO or are currently negotiating for their accession represent very small shares of world trade. For reasons discussed above, however, this does not mean that the existing WTO members are disposed towards giving these countries a “free pass” into the organization. Even the smallest country is important when countries make a fetish of precedent. The diplomacy of accession has grown more contentious, with applicants and recently acceding countries having raised concerns over the process and its consequences. In a review of the debate among member countries over the accession process, a note by the WTO Secretariat stated that — It was pointed out that the accession process was often lengthy and too demanding for certain acceding governments; the fact finding stage, particularly, appeared to be unduly long, inquisitorial and frequently repetitive. Many speakers said that many accessions were moving too slowly, some adding that the process should be simplified. Other speakers acknowledged that few accessions had taken place recently but said that this did not mean that the system was not working … However, it appeared generally agreed that the WTO should look for ways to expedite the current accession processes so that applicants are not kept waiting longer than necessary.[7] The process is much more time-consuming than it was in years past. The average WTO accession thus far has had an elapsed time of just over five years from the establishment of a working party to membership. This figure masks the considerable range of experience among acceding countries, where negotiations have ranged between three and ten years, and fails to take into account the much longer periods experienced by some of the countries that have not yet completed the process. The completion of China’s accession is a major accomplishment. But one that was fifteen years in the making. Algeria and Nepal have been at it since 1987 and 1989, respectively. Developing country applicants are especially concerned over the apparent invalidation of established S&D principles in specific WTO agreements. Some aspects of the Uruguay Round agreements provide for preferential treatment for developing countries, but these rules are more limited in scope than the older GATT provisions. Many of the more substantive provisions of the WTO agreements provide for longer transition periods for developing countries and LDCs, but do not provide for permanent exemptions. Some provide for two-year transitions (the agreements on Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures and Import Licensing), and others for five years (the agreements on Customs Valuation, Trade-Related Investment Measures, and Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights). In accession negotiations conducted so far, however, developing and transitional countries have found their partners extremely reluctant to permit them to use these transitional provisions. The United States in particular takes the position that only original WTO members are entitled to use the transitional periods, while some other members are willing to consider transitional periods as negotiable possibilities.
The Perspectives of the Quad Countries The stricter approach taken towards accession is ultimately attributable to a policy decision on the part of the four WTO members that compose the Quad. The United States is primus inter pares within this informal leadership group, which also includes Canada, the European Union, and Japan. Together with Australia and few other countries, they account for the great majority of the questions that are posed to the acceding countries and the demands that are made of them. The United States especially treats these negotiations in a regime context, meaning that the commitments that it seeks from each acceding country are viewed in the broader framework of the rules that the U.S. negotiators want to see applied uniformly to all WTO members. This sometimes lead negotiators to emphasize certain matters that may appear to be relatively unimportant in the bilateral relationship per se, but are instead of very great importance in U.S. relations with other countries that are either WTO members or are negotiating for their own accession. Perhaps the most difficult position in which an acceding country can find itself is in a dispute between Quad countries over the place of an issue in the trading system. France convinced Albania to withdraw audiovisual commitments that it had made to the United States by threatening to block the country’s WTO accession. French officials were reportedly concerned that the Albanian concession “could provide a back-door entry into Europe for U.S. productions.”[8] While Albania ultimately made commitments on cinema theater operation services and four other cultural sectors, it made none on cinema or television production. The European Union has also drawn a sharper distinction between the least developed countries (LDCs) and ordinary developing countries than has the United States. This might be partly attributable to the fact that five of the nine LDCs that are currently seeking accession are former European colonies (i.e., Cambodia, Cape Verde, Laos, Samoa, and Vanuatu).[9] They might have had the option of simply succeeding to GATT, but under WTO rules and practice they are subject to the same accession procedures as all other countries. Whatever the reason, the European Union proposed in 1999 that a “fast-track” procedure be established to facilitate the accession of LDCs. This proposal suggested that the accession of “could be expedited by agreeing with other WTO Working Party Members on a range of minimum criteria” and a “flexible, streamlined approach” that would “spee[d] up the process for them all without discrimination.” Under this proposal the following criteria would apply: · Industrial tariffs: LDCs could bind at a level something like 30% across the board over a maximum five-year period (i.e. to 01.01.2004), with the possibility remaining to agree a limited number of higher tariffs on “exceptional” products. · Agricultural sector: LDCs could aim at 40% across the board. LDCs should not be export subsidies. Their commitments in these areas should be inscribed directly in their schedules. Any problems of specific products of LDCs should be addressed in a flexible manner. · Services: LDCs could be asked to make commitments in at least three services sectors. As far as horizontal commitments are concerned, the EC does attach great importance to good commitments in Mode 3 (commercial presence), in particular on foreign capital participation and employment requirements and in Mode 4 (movement of personnel). · Alignment to WTO rules: WTO Members could agree on the automatic applicability of transition periods agreed in the Uruguay Round for LDCs towards full compliance with WTO Agreements. Candidate countries would, however, be expected to provide a work programme for the completion of legislative alignment. We should intensify technical assistance efforts to ensure compliance is achieved.[10] The proposal did not get far due to opposition from the United States. The U.S. negotiators take the position that while other WTO members are free to establish their own policies toward the accession of LDCs, including reduced demands upon these countries, they should not be granted substantially easier terms of accession. The only area in which the U.S. negotiators seem prepared to “cut some slack” for the LDCs is in the number of working party meetings, which they believe can be held to two or three. They otherwise insist that these countries be required to provide all of the same information that other applicants submit, and that LDCs be obliged to make commitments bringing their regimes into conformity with WTO rules. Even in some areas where the WTO agreements explicitly provide for special treatment, such as the transition period for intellectual property rights or the exemption from commitments on agricultural subsidies, they are likely to request that LDCs undertake disciplines that go beyond the letter of the WTO agreements. Two Perspectives for Acceding Countries Accession to the WTO is clearly a difficult undertaking, and — for reasons explained above — one that has gotten more complex and lengthy over time. How might the countries that are currently seeking accession best handle the negotiations? One approach would be to protest against the apparent inequities of the system, and to insist that countries that are undergoing major economic and (in many cases) political transitions should not be expected to meet all of the standards that industrialized countries have reached among themselves over more than half a century of negotiations in the GATT and WTO. While such an approach might be founded in justice, its grounding in reality is less certain. The more demanding approach that is now taken towards acceding countries is a natural consequence of the three-dimensional evolution of the trading system, and it is to be expected that precedent will be given a high priority in a rules-based system. Those rules are defined primarily by the larger and more influential countries in the system, and those countries show little proclivity to change course. It seems inevitable, therefore, that the accession process will remain demanding. If the acceding countries cannot expect to change the process itself, how might they best position themselves in it? There are two essential points of view that negotiators might adopt, alternatively approaching these talks from the perspective of a diplomat/trade lawyer on the one hand, or an economist/reformer on the other. While each of these approaches offers a valid means of assessing options and devising strategy, the latter perspective may be the most appropriate. The Diplomat/Trade Lawyer’s Approach One option is to treat accessions as an exercise in diplomacy and law, emphasizing both the political dignity and the legal rights of the country. Membership in this key international organization is now an important issue of international status, such that any country that remains outside of the WTO carries a taint of second-class citizenship in the global community. The acceding country may therefore adopt an approach that stresses the political necessity of early entry, while also insisting that its commitments be limited. This approach is commonly adopted by countries, often in response to impasses that they have reached in a negotiation over particularly difficult points. Trading partners sometimes hope that their disputes can be solved by taking matters to the highest levels of government. Quite to the contrary, the effort to “kick a negotiation upstairs” can work more to the benefit of the existing countries than the acceding country. If they know that their interlocutor is under strong political pressure back home to secure accession at any cost, the negotiators in Geneva will feel even more secure in setting a high price. A country might theoretically conclude an agreement over accession on a much faster schedule, provided that it were prepared to accept without hesitation or revision all of the requests made by the members of its WTO accession working party. The end results, however, might be hard for the negotiators to explain to their masters. The Kyrgyz accession negotiation was the quickest on record, taking just 34 months, but it also led to the adoption of many commitments that have proven difficult to fulfill. It is not surprising that many acceding countries approach these negotiations in the same manner that lawyers will approach a contract negotiation. When viewed through the eyes of a trade lawyer, a country’s accession process might be compared to negotiations over a purchasing contract, a divorce, or other legal proceedings in which each side seeks to attain maximum advantage at minimum cost. Seen from this point of view, the goal is to ensure that a country makes as few commitments as possible, and is bound by the least onerous conditions. This approach is clearly reflected in the terminology that trade negotiators employ, in which the commitments that countries make are deemed to be “concessions.” This word implies that the country is surrendering something of value whenever it agrees to a specific condition in its accession, or otherwise makes a commitment in a WTO-sponsored negotiation. The trade lawyer’s advice would be simple: Concede as little as possible to the countries with which you negotiate, make these concessions only after ensuring that they are unavoidable, and try if possible to construe any commitments narrowly. The principal problem with this approach is that the typical acceding country has little or no leverage over the existing WTO members. The applicant will almost always feel much greater pressure in these negotiations than do its negotiating partners; while the applicant may greatly desire to win its seat at the table, those who are already there perceive no urgency in setting another place. Many of the usual tools in the negotiator’s bag are rendered ineffective in this environment, where stonewalling merely means delaying the process while the price of admission continues to rise. The Economist/Reformer’s Approach An alternative approach is to look past the apparently unfair nature of the accession process, and to concentrate more on the ends than the means. From this perspective, accession is an opportunity to reinforce the country’s economic reform
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